He buys his survival kicked of repeated provocations

Not forget me not if I am afraid, therefore I exist! "Just the G20 Summit would end in Seoul, Pyongyang regime seemed to want to celebrate in his own way the limits.

So should read "acts of war", the bombing on an island sudcoréenne, committed by the Korea of the North last week. This isolated action should not herald a real escalation between the two Koreas. It was translated in less recurring weaknesses of global governance. America, which is what it was, and China, which is not yet what it will be there as a hiatus, "a grey area" that benefit with a form of primary Machiavellian North Korean leaders.

The Pyongyang regime may be caricature; It is not irrational. He buys his survival kicked of repeated provocations. It finances its madness by the fear that it is more crazy actions still. In his behavior, the Korea of the North is more like a baroque, paranoid and cunning sect to any form of regime on the planet. It is his force - who wants to cause the devil -, it is also its weakness. How long can the 'Kim family"stay in power His fall will be almost automatic way the disappearance of the North in a reunited Korea Korea. The tension between the two Koreas prefigure what could become our world, if the new international disorder lead to chaos. And it comes in a particularly sensitive area and at a particularly delicate moment. Is the Korea of the North not the main, if not the only one of China's allies in the region And this "mad dog" at the gates of China - to use the formula of a blogger Chinese n ' is it not also the demonstration of the limits of influence regional and international in Beijing

The Nobel Laureate American Thomas Schelling, who taught at the MIT, had pointed out in a book published in 1960, "The strategy of conflict", negotiation capacity of very low in relation to the very strong. If the first was ready to put in the balance "the suicide" and if the latter was not prepared to accept the risk to himself of the disappearance of the other, the weak could do sing the fort. Reflection of Thomas Schelling applies perfectly to the relations between Beijing and Pyongyang today.

It would be simplistic to say that the repeated provocations of the Korean regime face, there would be a power who would act but was more means, the United States, and a power that could act but is unwilling, indeed China. Beijing has a strategic objective that outweighs all other considerations: avoid the collapse of the Korea of the North and a massive influx of population to China. A reunification of the Korea would also place in Korea these troops to the borders of China.

So far, China has failed (not intended) find a response to the dilemma posed by Schelling. Critical Beijing from the end of the lips the behavior of leaders in Pyongyang, the irresponsible risk to appear in the eyes of the international community. It thus feeds a distrust that does that grow against him in the whole of the Asian continent. Too active in the China Sea, too passive for the Korea of the North, China little diplomatic behavior at its new international status. In reality, it also place America before its contradictions and requested by its hesitation she really expected of China.

The joint naval manoeuvres decided by Washington and Seoul in the aftermath of the provocations of Pyongyang are the "minimum" necessary. How would America be credible in the eyes of all the Asian nations seeking to remain a factor of balance against China if it was not evidence of calm, firmness and lucidity in the current crisis

If there one day perhaps a G2 in the world, the North Korea will certainly contributed to his birth.